Bold Ruler Hcp prediction

A field of 6 for the Gr3 7f event for 3&up on the dirt on the final weekend of the Belmont fall meet (it's fine but cool here) and not much speed on (AQSP only 2.2). #1,4,5,6 seem the main chances, and I see #6 Strapping Groom crossing to lead from #2 and #3, and with the 3yo #1 Forty Tales (Rosario/Pletcher) as well as #4,5 closing from the rear. I am going for #1 (3/1 2nd fav on ML) to beat the chalk #6.