R2KyD: Fountain of Youth & Risen Star

So SW Stakes was canceled Monday due to the "Siberian Express" reaching as far south as Arkansas. it's being re-run Sunday. and we go into tomorrow's double header still 3 for 3 in the SHOWdown, along with 750 other players. In the Fountain of Youth, this looks like being a repeat of the Holy Bull, with the main chances again being the place getters from last month. I will play #7 Upstart in the SHOWdown. He has run two triple figure beyers and showed that "group 1 acceleration" in the stretch to pass BGS and Frosted couldn't make any leeway. He really demolished them. Frosted gets 6 lbs from him and has blinkers on, but will this be enough? Really looks to be Upstart's race with #2 BGS setting a good pace in front, and again possibly lasting for the show. The other five runners are less likely to hit the board. Here's the Holy Bull from 1/26, with Upstart #8 with the navy cap The Fountain of Youth has been run since 19545. It is the final stakes prep to the Florida Derby and is an official prep race for the Kentucky Derby. The race was named for the mythical Florida spring that granted eternal youth, it was sought by Spanish explorer Ponce de Leon who searched throughout the south eastern United States for it but never found the fountain. Four colts, Tim Tam (1958), Kauai King (1966), Spectacular Bid (1979), and Thunder Gulch (1995) won this race then went on to become "Dual Classic Winners," the first three won the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes the last won the Derby and the Belmont Stakes. The 1985 winner, Proud Truth, won that year's Breeders' Cup Classic. In the Risen Star at FG about an hour later, it's a field of 10, and here the key race was the LeComte here on 1/17. I'm going for #2 Tiznow RJ, led and doesn't show the head on but appeared that he had a tough time in the stretch with the #4 (#6 tomorrow) laying in all over him, giving the #1 (#10 tomorrow) an easy shot at them. I think #2 is a possibility to hit the board in a derby prep race, and the rest of them less likely [but obviously two of them will]. Inaugurated in 1973, the Risen Star is the major prep race to the Louisiana Derby and one of many prep race preparing colts for the Kentucky Derby and the Triple Crown. The American Graded Stakes Committee upgraded the race to Grade II from Grade III in 2010. Previously known as the Louisiana Derby Trial Stakes, in 1989 it was renamed to honor locally-owned Risen Star who won the race in 1988 and went on to win the Preakness and Belmont Stakes and be voted the 1988 Eclipse Award for American Champion Three-Year-Old Male Horse. Notably, in 1975 Golden Chance Farm's colt Master Derby won this race then went on to win the Louisiana Derby and the second leg of the U.S. Triple Crown, the Preakness Stakes.