Sunland Derby prediction

I couldn;t split the Baffert pair Midnight Hawk (Mike Smith up) & Chitu (Martin Garcia up)on form and ability. For the SHOWdown (now 6 for 10), I've gone with Chitu, because I like the pedigree a bit better for a Derby prep horse. Good start and no traffic problems. Chitu sat outside #2 and M/Hawk outside him. Chitu got the lead and the 2 of them batted down the stretch with Chu too strong on the day but M Hawk not disgraced. Rest did nothing.