AR Derby & Bluegrass

The RTKyD is coming towards it's end with only a couple of preps left. At 16 for 10 in the SHOWdown, i'm out of the running for a prize but in the top 10% of players (the leader has hit the board 15 times and is the only one to do so, showing how hard it is). In the $3/4M Bluegrass over 9f on the AWT at KEE, I will go with the 3/1 ML chalk, #5 Bobby's Kitten (castellano/brown), although the fact this is his first attempt on synch surface is a concern for some. In the Arkansas Derby over 9f on the main track at OP at 7pm ET, I will go with #6 Commissioner (Smith/TAP). Only one proven at the distance. He generally gets back and there are Some concerns about the pace in the media but I don't see it as a problem.