Saturday, March 28, 2015

R2KD: Gr 1 Florida Derby and Gr 2 Louisiana Derby today

The La. derby goes off first, post time 6:24 ET and my market is almost identical to the ML, with #9 intentional star 3/1, #6 war story 4/1 and #2 Mr. Z at 9/2. the pace looks good (Mr Z and #8 St Joe Bay), so should suit "Star". In the Fla. Derby, scheduled some 20 minutes later at 6:48 ET, again I have lined them up much the same as the ML with #9 Upstart at 8/5, #4 itsaknockout 3/1 and #1 next at 5/1 (ML splits them, with #7 Materiality 3rd, at 7/2, #1 Ami's Flatter 4th at 8/1). The early pace looks to be inside (e.g. #2,#5) so the speedy Upstart should be able to take a nice stalking position without too much effort. FYI In the SHOWdown, I'm 10 for 12 and equal 148th of some 1500-plus players, so still in the top 10% of handicappers.

No comments:

Post a Comment