FREE KENTUCKY DERBY 2015 PREDICTIONS BROUGHT TO YOU BY PARK AVENUE PAUL

I think it's a real lottery this year. I have it 9/1 the field with American Pharaoh (5/2 M/L chalk), Dortmund (3/1) and Materiality (12/1) on top, all on the maximum points. For the SHOWdown, I lean towards the Zayat Stable's American Pharaoh, Espinoza up, from the Baffert yard. I expect him to go forward from the wide barrier where he can stay wide out of trouble and not eating too much dirt. His Tomlinson rating for the distance is as good as anyone's. Of the others, Carpe Diem, El Kabhier, Firing Line, International Star, Frosted and Upstart all have excellent claims.