DISCLAIMER: All predictions offered in good faith but for entertainment purposes only. No responsibility taken. Please check official lists before placing any bets
Thursday, June 11, 2015
Shoemaker Mile prediction
The race of the day Saturday is the Gr1 $400K Shoemaker Mile, around 2 turns on the turf at Santa Anita. Only a field of 5 makes it tricky, as these races are often devoid of pace. #1 Winning Prize and #4 Seek Again are the only entrants to have won at Gr1. Despite the small field, i'm wondering if #1(blinkers ON) and chalk #3 will duel, setting it up for Juddmonte Farms' #4 Seek Again, 4/1 on the M/L from the Bill Mott yard, Jose Lezcano up, and they are a hot combo. Former Brazilian HOTY #5 Bal a Bali who won at his first US start and is 13-for-12 career wise is the obvious danger. Fun Fact: Hall-of-Famer "The Shoe", who died in 2003, won eleven Triple Crown races during his career, spanning four different decades, but the Crown itself eluded him. RESULT: The race played out as it appeared on paper, with 1&3 setting a very fast pace up front (first 6f in 70:0) but it was #2 Talco who closed best, covering the last 2f in 24:0 to beat #3, with #4Seek Again motoring home to just grab 3rd on the line, covering the last 2f in 24:2 paying an incredible $5.40 for the show when there were so few runners. The fav Bal a Bali finished last, easing very late in the betting . in the other turf races today, King Kreesa repeated his 2013 win in the Gr 3 Poker at Bel (one turn mile on the Widener track) wiring it in a very fast 93:2, while Prado's Sweet Ride beat the other 3f in a slow Gr3 Regret at CD (2 turn, 1&1/8mi) in 1.51:4. On the dirt, in the gr 1 Stephen Foster at CD, Noble Bird held off 9/5 fav Lea, with Hoppertunity 3rd, while odds-on fav Beholder easily won the Gr 2 Adoration at SA.
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