weekend turf warrior, 9/19/15

3 graded turf stakes today, incl the Nobel Damsel for F&M at BEL and Commonwealth Derby & Cup at LRL (instead of Colonial Downs). The main race today is the $1M Pennsylvania Derby at Parx. in the $250K Commonwealth Cup over 1&1/8 mi, i'm selecting #5 Up With The Birds. I see #4 leading from #7 with #2 & #5 closing with the last prevailing.